Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 102391.779543 107869.715095 113339.855794 119208.482258 125322.660379 131501.232547 138213.073332
2025-08-03 92905.334993 101260.830345 109831.130832 119267.899548 129355.864163 139805.619897 151437.177037
2025-08-10 86322.870218 96661.831067 107493.485724 119665.009435 132938.054491 146950.207964 162837.787217
2025-08-17 81013.060226 92809.640875 105390.356577 119768.818418 135708.762575 152799.986421 172472.326743
2025-08-24 77487.597629 90544.265515 104684.521757 121081.795221 139516.311127 159543.849912 182889.065382
2025-08-31 73589.321746 87570.755472 102927.722126 120973.427726 141520.577636 164109.399695 190740.138930
2025-09-07 71228.034960 86157.256735 102763.350533 122507.951075 145243.277891 170499.378559 200571.145985
2025-09-14 68838.184744 84556.723800 102248.858986 123517.137513 148263.536625 176019.558229 209370.603933
2025-09-21 66189.070586 82513.808419 101097.867746 123673.766887 150202.923242 180230.517674 216622.119137
2025-09-28 63798.230553 80660.114196 100063.367479 123868.914431 152104.570897 184337.129859 223715.051856
2025-10-05 62581.915097 80139.071382 100540.182360 125794.308658 155999.358483 190743.745248 233494.252147
2025-10-12 61278.264324 79444.545818 100752.767721 127356.866483 159431.925740 196596.357388 242635.771747
2025-10-19 59663.599224 78329.616714 100433.977422 128272.428894 162107.142175 201597.475516 250851.537867
2025-10-26 57748.924065 76777.283507 99526.829496 128426.343681 163832.541216 205456.210054 257719.716146
2025-11-02 56100.243233 75494.916327 98895.767354 128869.077133 165871.436194 209670.417320 265014.745732
2025-11-09 54390.949671 74074.741562 98039.382591 128984.164447 167470.837431 213331.380331 271638.046527
2025-11-16 53398.452106 73526.940460 98236.468021 130380.014600 170629.361934 218881.585519 280571.713808
2025-11-23 51753.764584 72086.064693 97262.023294 130265.160462 171881.959087 222086.590540 286642.343584
2025-11-30 50998.292676 71768.768294 97686.316883 131895.115999 175301.921669 227956.737457 296007.154659
2025-12-07 50033.961400 71143.677497 97688.926309 132966.916081 178009.255344 232949.628849 304311.664580
2025-12-14 48719.669898 70015.651301 97008.416252 133133.255695 179549.921882 236484.509806 310815.024577
2025-12-21 47484.910959 68956.209181 96383.149887 133340.494969 181120.077648 240045.338134 317355.186878
2025-12-28 47082.479175 68997.560158 97181.476231 135384.992014 185040.084960 246566.584428 327633.786079